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Canadian elections 2011 - fallouts

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Sheriff Roland:
It now appears, with only 3 days left before the election, that the Conservatives will not get their desired majority.

The third place party (vote wise, in previous elections) has shot up in the polls surpassing the faltering Liberals and are now poised to garner a larger block of seats than the Liberals did in the last parliament.

In reality, though few people are committing to this idea at this point, I believe it's a real possibility that even though the Conservatives end up with the most seats, they will not succeed in forming a functional government and the New Democratic Party (NDP) are likely to combine forces with the Liberals to form a functional government for the next few years. In the recent past, the two left wing parties did not have (combined) enough seats to form a majority, seeing as the seperatist party (Bloc Québecois) held the third largest number of seats.

The most recent seat projection (based on regional breakdowns of polls, March 27 stats) has the Conservatives holding 135 - 142 seats, the NDP 97 -107, the Liberals 51 - 66, and the Bloc (BQ) 4 to 14. (thus giving a NDP/Liberal coalition 148 to 173 seats, well within the 155 seats required for a majority.)

http://www.electionalmanac.com/canada/projections.php

And the NDP numbers (currently 30% of votes to 35% for the Conservatives) have done nothing but rise in the past 3 weeks; they might even increase enough to catch up with the Conservatives by election day, May 2

Sheriff Roland:
the latest national (3 day rolling) poll


and the source:

http://beta.images.theglobeandmail.com/archive/01270/Nanos_rolling_poll_1270157a.pdf

Sheriff Roland:
Almanac's latest seat projections:

Conservatives: 133 to 145 seats
NDP:               104 to 108 seats
Liberals:           44 to 61 seats
BQ:                    6 to 15 seats

Sheriff Roland:
And a further update:

Conservatives: 134 to 144 seats
NDP:               101 to 125 seats
Liberals:           31 to 67 seats
BQ:                    6 to 8 seats

oilgun:
This atheist has been praying that the repulsive Conservatives don't get their much wanted majority.  Harper's government has been the most opaque, non-accountable, anti-democratic and dishonest in all of Canadian history.  He ruined the country's reputation so much so that I'm actually ashamed to say I'm Canadian.  I spit on him and his little dog too, lol!

Find out why I hate Harper so much:
http://shitharperdid.ca.nyud.net/

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